Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 6.038001 6.888083 7.826000 8.939417 10.227510 11.673630 13.424108
2025-05-25 4.824178 5.908961 7.201464 8.861654 10.947162 13.492645 16.853982
2025-06-01 4.048259 5.220560 6.697741 8.708598 11.394442 14.885810 19.812961
2025-06-08 3.484837 4.683251 6.262898 8.517076 11.683083 16.018543 22.486048
2025-06-15 3.237080 4.513015 6.263895 8.870800 12.702971 18.206426 26.847556
2025-06-22 2.959148 4.258925 6.106023 8.960337 13.328166 19.871441 30.626771
2025-06-29 2.688855 3.980684 5.874516 8.900037 13.700327 21.171849 33.977233
2025-07-06 2.448967 3.719533 5.635651 8.791303 13.967253 22.313427 37.185398
2025-07-13 2.332432 3.632789 5.649294 9.071852 14.874462 24.568263 42.532328
2025-07-20 2.212136 3.526597 5.618406 9.269942 15.655748 26.685596 47.899833
2025-07-27 2.132990 3.477971 5.672797 9.610599 16.709507 29.380487 54.666010
2025-08-03 1.961114 3.259479 5.423973 9.399300 16.755085 30.261484 58.088829
2025-08-10 1.818929 3.081725 5.232597 9.277290 16.961663 31.483659 62.397240
2025-08-17 1.694019 2.923419 5.061071 9.173562 17.189223 32.767886 67.008369
2025-08-24 1.573130 2.761997 4.869583 9.012187 17.284204 33.794604 71.207279
2025-08-31 1.458818 2.603146 4.669110 8.813128 17.280042 34.613220 75.054552
2025-09-07 1.430622 2.600103 4.755609 9.180256 18.460718 38.020002 85.219145
2025-09-14 1.369206 2.529502 4.707945 9.273197 19.077115 40.289686 93.069298
2025-09-21 1.294174 2.426967 4.590134 9.210601 19.351740 41.835289 99.396338
2025-09-28 1.219593 2.319727 4.454529 9.097732 19.502713 43.115394 105.247869
2025-10-05 1.193904 2.307150 4.506633 9.388961 20.589375 46.687555 117.538016
2025-10-12 1.160578 2.276546 4.519246 9.594609 21.500620 49.952045 129.542024
2025-10-19 1.143071 2.276853 4.595519 9.948300 22.798216 54.320463 145.303117